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An act or undertaking of uncertain outcome; a risk: I took a gamble that stock prices would rise. Switch to new thesaurus.

One who speculates for quick profits: The whole business was a bit of a gamble. References in classic literature? Their morality in business and politics was gambler morality.

Des Grieux was like all Frenchmen, that is, cheerful and amiable when it was necessary and profitable, and insufferably dull when the necessity to be cheerful and amiable ceased.

A Frenchman is rarely amiable by nature; he is always amiable as if on command, out of calculation. Search, Read, Study, Discuss".

Retrieved 30 September Introduction to Notes from the Underground and The Gambler. Introduction to The Idiot. Retrieved from " https: Views Read Edit View history.

In other projects Wikimedia Commons. This page was last edited on 18 November , at By using this site, you agree to the Terms of Use and Privacy Policy.

Title page of first edition. The Gambler at Wikisource. And I believed in my system This whetted my appetite.

I was carried away by this unusual good fortune and I risked all 35 napoleons and lost them all. In Geneva I pawned my watch. Wikisource has original text related to this article: On the rare occasions when he left the casino with any money, [he] would bring the money back to the casino the following day, and he would then gamble with, and eventually lose either the next day or shortly thereafter , that money.

Furthermore, [he] knew that eventually he would lose any winnings playing the slot machines. While watching [him] gamble, [she] saw that he did not get excited and did not enjoy playing the slot machines.

After she moved out of [his] home, he did not notice that she was gone until 2 or 3 days later. According to a psychologist called as an expert witness: We find [the expert witness] to be credible and rely on her expert opinion.

What if the actual reasoning that occurs "in the wild" and at Vegas is something like this? A series of events has occurred which would be highly-improbable if the device is fair.

The device is probably not fair. No physical randomizer will ever be perfectly fair; for instance, no die will ever be perfectly symmetrical or absolutely evenly weighted.

So, to be perfectly precise, the form of the fallacy should be expressed in the following way: An approximately fair gambling device has produced a "run".

Therefore, on the next trial of the device, it is significantly less likely than chance to continue the run.

There was a famous "man who broke the bank at Monte Carlo" 9 who studied the roulette wheels in the casino and discovered that one seemed to favor certain numbers.

By betting those numbers, the man was able to amass a small fortune. When the casino realized what he was doing, it switched the roulette wheels around at night while the casino was closed, and the man began to lose heavily.

Nowadays, you can bet that casinos around the world have learned the lesson, which is why there has been no "man who broke the bank" since the 19th century.

However, consider how the man who broke the bank reasoned: Certain numbers on the wheel had come up more often than expected.

Therefore, the man bet on those numbers! In cases such as the Monte Carlo one, it may be reasonable to conclude that a gambling device is not fair based upon a highly improbable series of results.

Author Since: Oct 02, 2012

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